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Acknowledgments | xiii | |
About the Author | xv | |
Preface | xvii | |
Introduction | xxi | |
Part 1 | The Game of Technology Transfer | |
Chapter 1 | The Pieces | 3 |
Introduction | 3 | |
The Problem with Models about Human Behavior | 4 | |
Constructs | 6 | |
Portraying Constructs | 7 | |
Deals | 7 | |
Technologies | 15 | |
Practices | 23 | |
Players | 33 | |
Conclusion | 38 | |
Chapter 2 | The Board | 39 |
Introduction | 39 | |
Arenas | 39 | |
Channels and Messages | 42 | |
Supply Chains | 44 | |
Users and Buyers | 48 | |
Competitors | 55 | |
Markets | 59 | |
Stakeholders | 64 | |
Conclusion | 67 | |
Chapter 3 | Strategies | 69 |
Introduction | 69 | |
Technology Niches | 70 | |
Nash Equilibriums | 72 | |
Making Technology Conducive for Nash Equilibriums | 74 | |
Objectives | 85 | |
Tactics | 96 | |
Competition | 99 | |
Windows of Opportunity or Being Just-in-Time | 100 | |
Conclusion | 102 | |
Part 2 | Market Research | |
Chapter 4 | Finding the Customer | 105 |
Introduction | 105 | |
What We Have to Sell | 105 | |
Functionality | 105 | |
Characteristics | 114 | |
Features | 117 | |
Product, Process, or Service | 118 | |
Finding the Application | 121 | |
Finding the Customer | 133 | |
The End User | 133 | |
Buyers | 139 | |
Conclusion | 144 | |
Appendix A | Intellectual Property | 146 |
Patents | 147 | |
Trade Secrets | 149 | |
Trademarks | 149 | |
Copyrights and Masks | 150 | |
IP Control | 150 | |
Chapter 5 | Competing Technology | 155 |
Introduction | 155 | |
Redundancy | 156 | |
Relation to the Dominant Design | 159 | |
Who Is Selling? | 163 | |
Who Is Emerging? | 165 | |
Time | 167 | |
Conclusion | 171 | |
Chapter 6 | Markets | 173 |
Introduction | 173 | |
Market Barriers | 174 | |
Market Forces | 180 | |
Estimating Market Size | 189 | |
Estimating Market Share | 197 | |
Conclusion | 200 | |
Part 3 | Strategy | |
Chapter 7 | Positioning the Technology for the End User | 203 |
Introduction | 203 | |
Take-Off | 204 | |
Umpf | 205 | |
Goals | 209 | |
Competitive Advantage | 214 | |
Performance | 216 | |
Ease of Use | 219 | |
Price | 223 | |
Time | 227 | |
Window of Opportunity | 228 | |
Value Propositions | 232 | |
Conclusion | 235 | |
Appendix A | Technikos | 237 |
Using Web Search to Develop and Test Hypotheses | 237 | |
Interviewing to Test Hypotheses | 240 | |
Appendix B | Presenting Your Technology | 242 |
Pre-Nondisclosure | 242 | |
Post-Nondisclosure (But Pre-Deal) | 242 | |
Investor Presentations | 243 | |
Post-Deal (Fully Executed Contract) | 243 | |
Chapter 8 | Launch Tactics | 245 |
Introduction | 245 | |
SWOTs | 246 | |
1 | Pick the Positioning | 248 |
2 | Determine the Strengths and Weaknesses | 249 |
3 | Determine the Opportunities and Threats | 251 |
4 | Look at the Intersection | 254 |
Looking Forward: Launch Tactics and Finding the Target | 260 | |
Channels and Messages | 262 | |
Rhetoric and Messages | 265 | |
Conclusion | 267 | |
Part 4 | Doing Deals | |
Chapter 9 | Finding the Target | 271 |
Introduction | 271 | |
Market Alignment | 272 | |
Technology Alignment | 282 | |
Alignment on Capabilities | 290 | |
Attitude toward Risk | 291 | |
Conclusion | 294 | |
Chapter 10 | Valuing the Technology | 295 |
The Basics: Discounted Cash Flow | 296 | |
Approaches to Valuation | 297 | |
Not Stupid Methods | 297 | |
Stupid Methods | 300 | |
Non-Revenue Value and Its Valuation | 301 | |
Revenues | 302 | |
Expenses | 310 | |
Quick Recap | 314 | |
Risk | 315 | |
Conclusion | 324 | |
Appendix A | Why Real Options Are a Waste of Time | 326 |
Chapter 11 | Doing the Deal | 329 |
Planning for Negotiations | 332 | |
Relationships | 333 | |
Intellectual Asset Package | 341 | |
Economics | 344 | |
Planning the Game in Extensive Form | 349 | |
Negotiating | 351 | |
Setting the Stage | 351 | |
Pulling It Off | 356 | |
Conclusion | 360 | |
Chapter 12 | The Twelve-Step Program | 363 |
Index | 369 |
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