Sold Out
Book Categories |
Foreword Nathan Keyfitz v
Preface to the English Edition ix
Translator's Preface xi
Preliminary Considerations
Subject Matter and Sources of Data 1
Population Census 2
The Census as Portrait of the Population 3
The Census as History of the Population 3
By-Products of the Population Census 4
Population Changes 4
Natality 5
Mortality 5
Extension of the Field of Study and of the Sources 5
Demographic Inquiries 6
Sample Surveys 7
Parish Registers 8
Published Sources of Demographic Statistics 9
French Demographic Statistics 9
American and British Demographic Statistics 11
International Demographic Statistics 11
Demographic Knowledge and Statistical Information 12
Location in Time 13
Geometric Representation of Time Instants and Time Intervals 13
A Terminological Convention 14
Introduction to the Lexis Diagram 15
The Lexis Grid 17
Generation or Cohort Life Lines 17
Ages and Cohorts 19
Double Classification in Demography 23
General Remarks 26
Rates in Demography 29
Crude Rates 29
Computation of Crude Rates 30
Specific Rates 31
Rates by Age 31
Rates by Age Groups 33
Specific Fertility Rates 37
General Fertility Rates 38
Age-Specific Fertility Rates 38
Age-Specific Marriage Rates 42
Limitations of Age-Specific Rates 44
Rates by Birth Cohort 46
Rates by Birth Cohort Groups 47
Choice of Rates 49
American and British Statistics 51
Quotients and Probabilities 53
Infant Mortality Rates 55
Methods of Computing the Infant Mortality Rate 56
Conversion of Rates to an Annual Basis 58
General Considerations and Suggestions 59
Vital Events
Analysis of Vital Events 63
Demography as the Science of Rates 63
Rates and Their Limits 63
Quotients and Tables 64
Period Observations and Cohort Observations 64
Hypothetical Cohorts 65
Study of Real Cohorts 66
Cohort Analysis and Period Analysis 67
A Paradigm in Demography 68
Mortality 71
The Crude Death Rate: Its Variations in Time and Space 71
The Composition of Mortality by Age and Sex 75
Causes of Death 82
Endogenous Mortality and Exogenous Mortality 84
Infant Mortality 84
Past Trends and Present Level of Infant Mortality 87
Biometric Analysis of Infant Mortality 90
Stillbirths and Perinatal Mortality 94
Examples of Biometric Analysis of Infant Mortality 96
Present Level of Endogenous and Exogenous Infant Mortality 100
Comparison of Mortality Levels 101
Use of a Standard Population 101
Use of a Standard Mortality Schedule 104
Life Tables 107
Presentation of the Life Table 107
Life Table Description of Mortality 111
Construction of Life Tables 111
Cohort Life Tables and Period Life Tables 112
Review of Mortality Probabilities 113
Life Table for French Males, 1954-1955 115
Expectation of Life 119
Description of Mortality Using Life Table Functions 124
Mean Length of Life in Different Periods and in Different Countries 128
Abridged Life Tables 132
Approximate Tables 134
Relationship Between Mortality Rates and Mortality Probabilities 135
Construction of the Abridged Life Tables by the Reed-Merrell Method 138
Strictly Period Life Tables 140
Mortality Probabilities Based on Deaths of a Single Calendar Year 141
Projective Mortality Probabilities 144
Strictly Period Life Tables for Multiple-Year Periods 147
Life Table for Children Under One Year of Age 147
Model Life Tables 148
Use of Model Life Tables 149
Marriage 153
Crude Marriage Rates 153
First Marriages 154
Some Comparisons 155
Nuptiality by Cohorts 157
Nuptiality Tables for First Marriages 159
Construction of a Cohort Nuptiality Table 161
Nuptiality Table for Single French Women, 1950-1951 164
Period Nuptiality Tables in the Study of Marriage 165
Some Simple Parameters of the Nuptiality Table 166
Some International Findings 168
The Study of Divorce and of Remarriage 169
The Study of Widowhood 171
Natality-Fertility 172
Introductory Remarks 172
Conventional Rates 174
Crude Birth Rate 174
Specific Fertility Rates 178
The General Fertility Rate 178
Age-Specific Fertility Rates 179
Description of Fertility with the Aid of Age-Specific Rates 180
Computation of Marital Fertility Rates Based on Family Histories 187
The Total Fertility and Gross Reproduction Rates 188
Mean Number of Children per Marriage 190
Analysis Based on Age-Specific Fertility Rates 191
Analysis by Cohorts 195
Duration of Marriage 198
Composition of Cumulative Fertility in a Marriage Cohort 200
Fertility Rates by Duration of Marriage 204
Period Marital Fertility and Duration of Marriage 207
Analysis Based on Fertility Rates by Duration of Marriage 210
Age at Marriage and Duration of Marriage 214
Duration of Marriage and Birth Order 214
Reconstruction of Fertility on the Basis of Family Histories 217
Birth Order 218
Parity Progression Ratios 219
Parity Progression Ratios and Description of Marital Fertility 223
Choice of Marriage Cohorts for the Computation of Parity Progression Ratios 224
The Frequency of First Births in a Marriage Cohort 225
Frequency of Legitimate First Births as a Period Index 228
Computation of Period Parity Progression Ratios Other Than a[subscript 0] 228
Period Parity Progression Ratios Larger Than Unity 232
Parity Progression Ratios as an Analytical Instrument 234
Mean Number of Children per Marriage Based on Period Parity Progression Ratios 239
Parity Progression Ratios for Female Birth Cohorts 241
Statistical Analysis of the Family 243
Some Conventions of Terminology 243
The Family as a Complex Statistical Unit 243
Statistical Materials 244
Populations Studied 245
The Protogenetic Interval 245
Fecundability 246
Fertility of Very Young Women 249
Intergenetic Intervals 250
Comparison of Intergenetic Intervals 251
Final Intervals 255
Fecund Couples and Fertile Couples 256
Concluding Remarks 258
Population Size and Structure
Population Composition 261
Attributes of the Structure of a Population 262
Population Composition by Sex and by Age 263
The Age Pyramid 263
The Study of a Pyramid 272
Forms of Pyramids 273
The Ageing of a Population 277
General Remarks on the Study of Age Composition 282
An Example: The Professional Population 284
Other Types of Composition 287
Age Composition and Marital Status 287
Economic Activity and School Attendance 291
Other Compositional Characteristics 298
Population Models 303
Age Pyramid Associated with a Survival Curve 303
Construction of a Stationary Population 307
Some Properties of Stationary Populations 314
Theoretical Stationary Populations and Real Populations 316
The Stable Population 318
Some Properties of Stable Populations 326
Some Examples of Stable Populations 328
Theoretical Stable Populations and Real Populations 333
Replacement 335
Natural Increase 335
The Rate of Natural Increase: Variations in Time and Space 337
Change in Populations with a Constant Rate of Natural Increase 341
The Over-All Character of the Rate of Natural Increase 344
The Net Reproduction Rate 344
The Period Net Reproduction Rate 346
Gross Rates and Net Rates 349
Net Reproduction Rate and Lotka's Theoretical Results 350
Limitations of the Net Reproduction Rate 352
Growth Potential of a Population 355
The Case of Small Population Groups 356
Population Projections
Introduction to Projections 363
Projections and Predictions 363
Presentation of Demographic Projections 364
Decomposition of a Projective Computation 366
Other Types of Projections 368
Computation of Survivors 371
Introduction to the Chapter 371
The Projective Mortality Probability 372
Present Level and Future Change of Mortality 374
Projective Probabilities and the Life Table 377
Future Change of Projective Probabilities 389
Projective Probabilities and Model Life Tables 392
An Example of Computation of Survivors with Model Life Tables 395
A Very Specific Example 395
Ease and Reliability of Computation of Survivors 400
Projections of Births 402
Projections Using Fertility Indices by Age 402
Projections of Marriages 407
Projections of Legitimate Births by Duration of Marriage 411
Projections of Legitimate Births by Birth Order 414
First-Order Births 414
Total Live Births 417
Choice of Methods and Hypotheses 417
An Example of the Use of Age-Specific Fertility Rates 417
Choice of Indices 420
The Use of Demographic Projections 426
Projections of the School-Age Population 426
A Different Method 429
Choice of Method 430
Projections of the Labor Force 432
Some Remarks 436
General Remarks Concerning the Use of Projections by Age 441
Use of Limiting Hypotheses 442
Mathematics and Demographic Analysis
Description of Demographic Events 447
Mortality 447
Expression for Expectation of Life 452
Analytical Expressions for Mortality Functions 453
An Application 454
Nuptiality 456
Relationships Between Events 457
First Application 459
Second Application 462
Fertility 463
Populations 466
General Relationships 466
Some Population Examples 470
Exponential Populations with Fixed Age Distributions 471
'Malthusian' Populations 473
Stable Populations 474
Stable Populations as Limit Populations 476
Stationary Populations 479
Application 479
Appendix 481
Index 493
Login|Complaints|Blog|Games|Digital Media|Souls|Obituary|Contact Us|FAQ
CAN'T FIND WHAT YOU'RE LOOKING FOR? CLICK HERE!!! X
You must be logged in to add to WishlistX
This item is in your Wish ListX
This item is in your CollectionDemographic Analysis: Projections on Natality, Fertility and Replacement
X
This Item is in Your InventoryDemographic Analysis: Projections on Natality, Fertility and Replacement
X
You must be logged in to review the productsX
X
X
Add Demographic Analysis: Projections on Natality, Fertility and Replacement, Population control requires that the birth rate equal to the death rate. If it is too low, population will decline; if it is too high, population will increase. If either condition persists long enough the population will diminish towards zero or increase, Demographic Analysis: Projections on Natality, Fertility and Replacement to the inventory that you are selling on WonderClubX
X
Add Demographic Analysis: Projections on Natality, Fertility and Replacement, Population control requires that the birth rate equal to the death rate. If it is too low, population will decline; if it is too high, population will increase. If either condition persists long enough the population will diminish towards zero or increase, Demographic Analysis: Projections on Natality, Fertility and Replacement to your collection on WonderClub |