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List of figures | ||
List of tables | ||
Foreword | ||
Preface | ||
1 | The Demographic Situation | 1 |
The European share of the total | 1 | |
Recent trends in the fertility of low-fertility populations | 2 | |
Future population size and age structure | 5 | |
Older age structures | 9 | |
Sex ratios | 11 | |
Geographic distribution of the aged | 12 | |
2 | The Future of Fertility and Mortality | 15 |
The rate of progression to numerical declines and older age structures | 15 | |
The extent of demographic 'deterioration' | 18 | |
3 | The Challenge of Numerical Decline and Older Age Structure: Part 1. Finances and the Provision of Care | 36 |
Introduction | 36 | |
Finances | 37 | |
The provision of personal care | 71 | |
4 | The Challenge of Numerical Decline and Older Age Structure: Part 2. Households, Labor Force, Economic Conditions and Behavior | 84 |
Introduction | 84 | |
Family and household composition | 85 | |
The labor force | 87 | |
Economic conditions | 91 | |
Behavior and politics | 94 | |
5 | Policy Alternatives: Demographic | 104 |
Introduction | 104 | |
Changing the demographic situation | 106 | |
Conclusion | 117 | |
6 | Some Compensations in the Trend Toward Older Age Structures and Numerical Declines | 120 |
Introduction | 120 | |
The optimum population | 121 | |
Natural limits | 126 | |
Environmental implications of consumption patterns | 131 | |
Discussion | 139 | |
Conclusion | 140 | |
7 | Policy Alternatives: Nondemographic | 143 |
Introduction | 143 | |
Changing the social and physical setting | 145 | |
Conclusion | 173 | |
8 | Conclusion | 178 |
Index | 180 |
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