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The Formation of Econometrics: A Historical Perspective Book

The Formation of Econometrics: A Historical Perspective
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  • The Formation of Econometrics: A Historical Perspective
  • Written by author Duo Qin
  • Published by Oxford University Press, July 1997
  • Duo Qin examines the history of econometrics from 1930 to 1960 in terms of the basic issues in econometric modelling: the probability foundations, estimation, identification, testing and model construction, and specification. She specifically argues t
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Authors

Introduction1
1The Probability Foundations of Econometrics7
1.1The Eve of the Probability Revolution9
1.2Introduction of Probability Theory13
1.3The Haavelmo Revolution19
1.4Alternative Approaches26
1.5An Incomplete Revolution31
2Model Construction37
2.1Econometric Measurement without Models38
2.2Emergence of Structural Model Construction44
2.3Formalization of Structural Model Formulation52
2.4Maturity of Simultaneous-Equations Model Formulation58
3Estimation65
3.1From LS to ML Estimation before Haavelmo's Revolution66
3.2ML Estimation of Simultaneous-Equations Systems72
3.3Estimation with Special Concerns for Time-Series Data79
3.4Other Estimation Methods for Errors-in-Variables Models84
3.5From ML back to LS, Completion of Estimation Procedure for Simultaneous-Equations Systems88
4Identification95
4.1Taking Shape96
4.2Initial Systematization102
4.3The First Explicit Formalization108
4.4Further Developments113
5Testing121
5.1Antecedents122
5.2Adoption of the Hypothesis-Testing Framework and Invention of Econometric Tests129
5.3Hypothesis-Testing via Model Evaluation in Applied Econometrics135
5.4Diagnostic Tests for Model Evaluation in Theoretical Econometrics141
6Model Construction Revisited149
6.1Testing and Model Construction150
6.2Identification and Model Construction158
6.3Estimation and Model Construction164
6.4Model Construction and the Probability Approach175
The History Revisited183
Bibliography189
Index of Names207
Index of Subjects210


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