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The Emerging Debt Problems of Small States: Economic Paper #78 Book

The Emerging Debt Problems of Small States: Economic Paper #78
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  • The Emerging Debt Problems of Small States: Economic Paper #78
  • Written by author Dinesh Dodhia
  • Published by Commonwealth Secretariat, June 2008
  • In recent years there has been a significant rise in the indebtedness of small states. However, unlike major debtors and the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPCs), the emerging debt problems of small, mainly middle income, states have received little in
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Pt. I The Emerging Debt Problems of Small States: Causes and Prospects

1 Introduction 3

2 Rising Debt Burdens in Small Economies: Some Stylized Facts 5

Caribbean small states 6

Pacific Ocean small states 9

Indian Ocean and African small states 11

3 Factors Responsible For Rising Debt Indicators in Small States 12

A quantitative assessment of the role of different factors 12

Reduced contribution of growth 16

Deterioration in primary balances 18

Rise in interest costs 25

4 Future Debt Prospects 30

Pt. II An International Framework to Address the Debt Problems of Small States

5 The Need for a Comprehensive Framework 37

6 Fiscal Discipline and Benchmarks 38

Fiscal adjustment experience and strategy 38

Fiscal benchmarks and fiscal responsibility laws 42

The need to build domestic consensus 44

Antigua workshop statement: Conclusions on fiscal discipline 45

7 Debt Recording, Management and Restructuring 46

Improving financial statistics and debt management 46

Debt restructuring 50

Antigua workshop statement: Conclusions on debt recording, management and restructuring 54

8 Insurance, Contingency and Grant Financing Mechanisms to Respond to Shocks 55

Domestic measures 55

Regional and international measures 57

Antigua workshop statement: Conclusions on mechanisms to respond to natural disasters and other shocks 61

9 The Crucial Importance of Concessional Finance 62

Debt sustainability and assumptions about concessional funding 62

Multilateral institutions and access to concessional resources 63

Bilateral donors 64

Antigua workshop statement: Conclusions on the importance of concessional resources 65

10Compensating for Preference Erosion and Promoting Private Investment by Mitigating Endowed Handicaps 67

Debt and private investment 67

Preference erosion and private investment 68

Compensatory financial assistance for preference erosion 68

Offsetting endowed handicaps for private investors in small states 70

Antigua workshop statement: Conclusions on compensating for preference erosion and promoting private investment 71

App. 1 Final Statement of Workshop on Addressing the Debt Problems of Non-HIPC Small States, 23-25 July 2007 73

References 80


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