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Reassessing the Incumbency Effect Book

Reassessing the Incumbency Effect
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Reassessing the Incumbency Effect, Incumbents in the U.S. House of Representatives have increased their vote percentages in recent decades, raising questions about the efficacy of elections in making members responsive. The evidence, however, indicates there has been no improvement in the , Reassessing the Incumbency Effect
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  • Reassessing the Incumbency Effect
  • Written by author Jeffrey M. Stonecash
  • Published by Cambridge University Press, 11/17/2010
  • Incumbents in the U.S. House of Representatives have increased their vote percentages in recent decades, raising questions about the efficacy of elections in making members responsive. The evidence, however, indicates there has been no improvement in the
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Pt. I An Increased Incumbency Effect: Reconsidering Evidence

1 An Increased Incumbency Effect and American Politics 3

2 The Consensus about a Greater Incumbency Effect 11

3 The Trend in Incumbent Vote Percentages 18

4 Cumulative Career Changes 32

5 The Retirement Slump 53

Pt. II Realignment and the Fortunes of (Some) Incumbents

6 An Alternative Framework: The Role of Realignment 67

7 A Partisan View of Incumbent Percentages 88

8 The Role of Realignment 99

9 Conclusions and Implications 112

Pt. III Appendices: More Detailed Analyses of Incumbency Effect Indicators

Appendix A Realignment and the Retirement Slump: A Closer Look 119

Appendix B The Gelman-King Analysis 130

Appendix C The Data Set 151

Bibliography 157

Index 167


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Reassessing the Incumbency Effect, Incumbents in the U.S. House of Representatives have increased their vote percentages in recent decades, raising questions about the efficacy of elections in making members responsive. The evidence, however, indicates there has been no improvement in the , Reassessing the Incumbency Effect

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Reassessing the Incumbency Effect, Incumbents in the U.S. House of Representatives have increased their vote percentages in recent decades, raising questions about the efficacy of elections in making members responsive. The evidence, however, indicates there has been no improvement in the , Reassessing the Incumbency Effect

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Reassessing the Incumbency Effect, Incumbents in the U.S. House of Representatives have increased their vote percentages in recent decades, raising questions about the efficacy of elections in making members responsive. The evidence, however, indicates there has been no improvement in the , Reassessing the Incumbency Effect

Reassessing the Incumbency Effect

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