Pierre-Simon Laplace, Vol. 13 Book

	Translator's Preface
	Note on the Translation
	Acknowledgments
	On probability	2
	General principles of the probability calculus	6
	On expectation	11
	On analytical methods in the probability calculus	14
	On games of chance	33
	On unknown inequalities that may exist between supposedly equal chances	34
	On laws of probability resulting from the indefinite repetition of events	36
	Application of the probability calculus to natural philosophy	43
	Application of the probability calculus to the moral sciences	61
	On the means of the results of a large number of observations	62
	On the probability of testimony	65
	On elections and decisions of assemblies	74
	On the probability of judicial decisions	77
	On tables of mortality and the mean duration of life, marriages and associations in general	81
	On the benefits of institutions that depend on the probability of events	86
	On illusions in the estimation of probabilities	91
	On various approaches to certainty	112
	Historical note on the probability calculus	117
	Notes	125
	Appendix: Editions of the Essai	225
	Bibliography	227
	Glossary	253