Peace and Conflict 2010 Book

1 Introduction Ted Robert Gurr J. Joseph Hewitt Jonathan Wilkenfeld 1

Regular Features

2 The Peace and Conflict Instability Ledger: Ranking States on Future Risks J. Joseph Hewitt 7

3 Trends in Global Conflict, 1946-2007 J. Joseph Hewitt 27

4 Trends in Democratization: A Focus on Minority Rights Amy Pate 33

5 Self-Determination Movements and Their Outcomes Monica Duffy Toft Stephen M. Saideman 39

6 Trends in Global Terrorism, 1970-2007 Gary LaFree Laura Dugan R. Kim Cragin 51

The Challenges of Post-Conflict Transitions

7 State Failure and Conflict Recurrence Anke Hoeffler 65

8 Democratization and Post-Conflict Transitions Håvard Hegre Hanne Fjelde 79

9 Women and Post-Conflict Settings Mary Caprioli Rebecca Nielsen Valerie M. Hudson 91

10 The Impact of Tribunals and Truth Commissions on Post-Conflict Peace Building James Meernik Rosa Aloisi Angela D. Nichols Marsha Sowell 103

11 Conclusion J. Joseph Hewitt Jonathan Wilkenfeld Ted Robert Gurr 117

Appendix-Major Armed Conflicts 123

References 143

Peace and Conflict Editorial Advisory Board 153

Acknowledgments 153

About the Authors 154

About the Contributors 154

About the Center for International Development and Conflict Management 156