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Preface | ||
1 | The Evolution of the Power Transition Perspective | 3 |
2 | When Are Power Transitions Dangerous? An Appraisal and Reformulation of Power Transition Theory | 35 |
3 | The Power Transition: Problems and Prospects | 57 |
4 | Small States and War: An Expansion of Power Transition Theory | 77 |
5 | Power Parity, Alliance, and War from 1648 to 1975 | 93 |
6 | A Two-Level Explanation of World War | 107 |
7 | Modeling Power Transition: An Extended Version | 117 |
8 | Relative Power, Rationality, and International Conflict | 127 |
9 | Power Shifts and the Onset of War | 145 |
10 | Balances of Power, Transitions, and Long Cycles | 163 |
11 | Power Transitions and Military Buildups: Resolving the Relationship between Arms Buildups and War | 187 |
12 | The Consequences of the American Civil War | 211 |
13 | Beyond Deterrence: Structural Conditions for a Lasting Peace | 231 |
14 | The Rites of Passage: Parity, Nuclear Deterrence, and Power Transitions | 249 |
15 | Beliefs about Power and the Risks of War: A Power Transition Game | 271 |
16 | The Conditions and Consequences of Dyadic Power Transitions: Deductions from a Dynamic Model | 287 |
17 | The Logic of Overtaking | 313 |
18 | The New Open Door Policy: U. S. Strategy in the Post-Cold War Era | 331 |
Bibliography | 347 | |
Contributors | 365 | |
Index | 367 |
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