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Tables and Figures ix
Acknowledgments xiii
1 Introduction 1
2 The Argument: How Interstate Signals Affect Civil Conflicts 17
3 Interstate Signals and Civil War Onset 59
4 A Puzzling Rebellion: Interstate Signals and Civil War Onset in Nicaragua 97
5 Interstate Signals and Civil War Duration 113
6 Interstate Signals and Civil War Outcome 135
7 The Consequences of Contradiction: Civil War Duration and Outcome in Iraq 149
8 Lessons Learned and Implications for the Future of U.S. Foreign Policy 169
9 Summary and Directions for Future Research 197
Bibliography 203
Index 233
About the Author 239
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