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List of figures | ||
List of tables | ||
Acknowledgments | ||
Prologue | 1 | |
Pt. I | Box-office champions, chaotic dynamics and herding | 7 |
1 | The market for motion pictures: rank, revenue and survival | 11 |
2 | Bose-Einstein dynamics and adaptive contracting in the motion picture industry | 28 |
3 | Quality evaluations and the breakdown of statistical herding in the dynamics of box-office revenue | 48 |
Pt. II | "Wild" uncertainty, tough decisions and false beliefs | 65 |
4 | Uncertainty in the movie industry: can star power reduce the terror of the box office? | 71 |
5 | Does Hollywood make too many R-rated movies?: risk, stochastic dominance and the illusion of expectation | 99 |
6 | Big budgets, big openings and legs: analysis of the blockbuster strategy | 122 |
Pt. III | Judges, lawyers and the movies | 139 |
7 | Motion picture antitrust: the Paramount cases revisited | 143 |
8 | Was the antitrust action that broke up the movie studios good for the movies?: evidence from the stock market | 176 |
9 | Stochastic market structure: concentration measures and motion picture antitrust | 190 |
Pt. IV | A business of extremes | 207 |
10 | Motion picture profit, the stable Paretian hypothesis and the curse of the superstar | 211 |
11 | Contracting with stars when "nobody knows anything" | 231 |
12 | How extreme uncertainty shapes the movie business | 255 |
Epilogue: can you manage a business when "nobody knows anything"? | 267 | |
Notes | 276 | |
Bibliography | 298 | |
Index | 305 |
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