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Calculated Risks: How to Know When Numbers Deceive You Book

Calculated Risks: How to Know When Numbers Deceive You
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  • Calculated Risks: How to Know When Numbers Deceive You
  • Written by author Gerd Gigerenzer
  • Published by Simon & Schuster Adult Publishing Group, March 2003
  • At the beginning of the twentieth century, H. G. Wells predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. But in the twenty-first century, we are often overwhelmed by a baff
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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

PART I DARE TO KNOW

  1. Uncertainty

  2. The Illusion of Certainty

  3. Innumeracy

  4. Insight


PART II UNDERSTANDING UNCERTAINTIES IN THE REAL WORLD

  1. Breast Cancer Screening

  2. (Un)Informed Consent

  3. AIDS Counseling

  4. Wife Battering

  5. Experts on Trial

  6. DNA Fingerprinting

  7. Violent People


PART III FROM INNUMERACY TO INSIGHT

  1. How Innumeracy Can Be Exploited

  2. Fun Problems

  3. Teaching Clear Thinking


GLOSSARY

NOTES

REFERENCES

INDEX


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