After the Storm: The Changing Military Balance in the Middle East Book

	List of Tables and Maps
	List of Acronyms
1	Weighing the Military Balance in the Middle East	1
	The Casualty Effect	4
	The Burden of Military Expenditures	9
	Trends in Military Manpower	15
	Equipment Numbers: The Issue of Quantity	17
	Qualitative Factors Affecting the Middle Eastern Military Balance	20
	Force Quality and Continuing Weaknesses in Middle Eastern Forces	25
	Scenario and Contingency Analysis in Middle Eastern Forces	29
2	Arms Transfers to the Middle East	33
	The Problem of Data	33
	Total Regional Arms Transfers Through 1990	35
	The Total Flow of Arms to Individual Middle Eastern Countries	36
	The Role of Arms Suppliers	39
	Arms Costs Versus Flows of Weapons	41
	Supplier Relationships with Individual Middle Eastern States	43
	The Role of Military Advisors	48
	Economic and Political Forces Driving Arms Sales	49
3	Trends in the Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction	52
	Current Acquisition Efforts in the Middle East	52
	The Impact of Long Range Missile Systems	52
	The Impact of Chemical Weapons	65
	The Impact of Biological Weapons	67
	The Impact of Nuclear Weapons	75
	The Technology and Practice of Proliferation	79
4	Trends in the Military Balance and Arms Sales in North Africa	83
	The Arms Buildup in the Maghreb	83
	Patterns in Arms Imports and Military Advisory Efforts	93
	Mauritania	95
	Morocco	101
	Algeria	116
	Libya	130
	Tunisia	157
	The Military Tragedy in the Maghreb	164
5	Trends in the Military Balance and Arms Sales in the Arab-Israeli Confrontation States	177
	The Historical Trends in Military Forces	180
	The Economic, Demographic, and Military Forces Affecting the Arab-Israeli Balance	181
	Israel	188
	Syria	256
	Jordan	285
	Lebanon	301
	Palestinian Forces	316
	Egypt	322
	Current Prospects for the Arab-Israeli Arms Race	351
6	Trends in the Military Balance and Arms Sales in the Northern Gulf States	377
	The Dynamics of the Military Balance in the Gulf Area	377
	The Impact of Iran and Iraq on the Regional Military Balance	381
	Iran	386
	Iraq	428
	Dealing with the Strategic Challenge from Iran and Iraq	517
7	Trends in the Military Balance and Arms Sales in the Southern Gulf States	553
	Military Forces, Strategic Needs, and Vulnerabilities	553
	The Gulf Cooperation Council and Efforts at Collective Security	556
	Saudi Arabia	559
	Kuwait	605
	Bahrain	627
	Qatar	635
	UAE	641
	Oman	654
	The Southern Gulf States: The Problem May Be the Solution	666
8	Trends in the Military Balance and Arms Sales in the Red Sea and the Horn	685
	The Military Trends in the Red Sea Area	685
	Yemen	690
	Sudan	704
	Ethiopia	713
	Djibouti	724
	Somalia	728
	The Problem of the Red Sea and the Horn	735
9	Strategic Interests, Arms Control, and Regional Stability: Conflict or Synergy?	745
	The Problem of Peace Negotiations	747
	The Problem of Arms Control	747
	The Problem of Military Buildups	750
	The Rule of Law and the Illusion of Democracy	752
	The Question of Hope	752
	Appendix: Sources and Methods	753
	Security Problems of the Middle East and Southwest Asia: A Selected Annotated Bibliography	757
	About the Book and Author	773
	Index	775