Detecting and Modelling Regional Climate Change Book

	Preface
Pt. I	Quality Control and Homogenisation of Climate Time-series	1
1	Homogenisation of Climate Data, Difficult but Necessary	3
2	A Correction Model for Homogenisation of Long Instrumental Data Series	13
3	Selection of Data Sets by Quality and its Role in Climate Research	21
4	Results of Homogeneity Testing of Long Time Series of Temperature and Precipitation in Germany	31
5	The First Known Instrumental Meteorological Observations in Extremadura (Spain): Badajoz (1830)	43
Pt. II	Observed Regional Climate Variability and Change	53
6	Instrumental Temperature Change in the Context of the Last 1000 Years	55
7	Temperature Series of the Czech Republic and its Relation to Northern Hemisphere Temperatures in the Period 1961-1999	69
8	The Variations and Trends of the Surface Air Temperature in the Northeastern of Spain from Middle Nineteenth Century Onwards	81
9	A Differential Response of Northeastern Spain Asymmetric Trends in Diurnal Warming Detected on a Global Scale	95
10	Climate Variability Analysis of Temperature Series in the Medium Ebro River Basin	109
11	Annual Temperature Evolution in the Southern Plateau of Spain from the Construction of Regional Climatic Time Series	119
12	Temperature Variations and Trends in the Segura River Basin. An Exploratory Analysis	133
13	The Temperature Component of the Common-Sense Index in Northwestern Iberian Peninsula	143
14	Changes in Temperature and Precipitation in the Norwegian Arctic during the 20th Century	153
15	Regionalization of Precipitation in Castilla and Leon (Spain). Analysis of its Temporal Behaviour	163
16	The Spatial and Temporal Structure of Rainfall Trends in the Valencia Region (Eastern of Spain) over the Second Half of the 20th Century	175
17	Trend and Variability Analysis of Rainfall Series and their Extreme Events	191
18	Trends in Daily Preciptation Regimes and their Extremes at Three Observatories in the Iberian Peninsula	203
19	Seasonal Patterns of Air Surface Temperature and Pressure Change in Different Regions of Antarctica	215
20	Secular Variations of the Synoptic Circulation over the Iberian Peninsula	229
21	Atmospheric Pressure Trends between 1945 and 1994 in Castilla and Leon (Spain)	239
22	Temporal Change of some Statistical Characteristics of Daily Average Wind Speed in Hungary	251
23	Connection of Climate and Land Use in South-East Hungary	263
Pt. III	Regional Climate Variability Patterns	273
24	Natural and Anthropogenic Causes of Recent Climate Change	275
25	The Stationarity of Lead-Lag Teleconnections with East Africa Rainfall and its Incidence on Seasonal Predictability	291
26	Monte-Carlo SSA Analysis of the NAO Index	309
27	Variability of North-Atlantic-European Circulation Patterns since 1780 and Corresponding Variations in Central European Climate	321
28	Large-scale Mechanisms Influencing the Winter Romanian Climate Variability	333
29	North Atlantic Oscillation Projection on Romanian Climate Fluctuations in the Cold Season	345
30	Spatial Winter Precipitation Distribution over the Iberian Peninsula and Greece and its Relation to the Large Scale 500 hPa Circulation	357
31	Wintertime Iberian Peninsula Precipitation Variability and its Relation to North Atlantic Atmospheric Circulation	369
32	Relationships between Iberian Rainfall Variability and the North Atlantic Oscillation	377
33	Time-Frequency Variability of Spring Precipitation Associated with Teleconnection Indices over the Iberian Peninsula	389
34	Relationships between Dry and Wet Periods in Spring Precipitation over the Iberian Peninsula and Atmospheric Circulation	397
35	Baroclinic Activity and Interannual Variability of Winter Precipitation in the Northern Iberian Peninsula	405
36	First Order Markov Chain Model and Rainfall Sequences in several Stations of Spain	417
37	Spatial and Temporal Variability of the Surface Air Temperature over the Duero Basin (Iberian Peninsula)	429
Pt. IV	Modelling and Assessing Regional Climate Change and Associated Impacts	439
38	Uncertainties in Assessing the Impacts of Regional Climate Change	441
39	Local Climate Scenarios for Norway Based on MPI's ECHAM/OPYC3, a New DNMI Data Analysis, and the Common EOF Method	471
40	Evaluation and Analysis of the ECHAM4/OPYC3 GSDIO-Integration Temperature- and SLP-Fields over Norway and Svalbard	483
41	Downscaling of the Global climate Change Projections: Some Approaches	491
42	Modelling Climate Changes for Croatia	501
43	Assessment of a Regional Climate for South America: A Dynamical Downscaling Approach	515
44	Assessment of a Regional Climate Change Scenario for Central Argentina: A Statistical Downscaling Approach	525
45	Climate Change Effect on the Reforestation Potential of Russia	537
46	Simulating Forest Responses to Transient Changes in Climate and Atmospheric CO[subscript 2]: A Case Study for Saskatchewan, Central Canada	545
47	Climate Change and Fire Weather Risk	555
48	Modelling Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in the Swedish Regional Climate Modelling Programme	567
49	Irrigation Scenario vs Climate Change Scenario	581
50	The Impact of Climate Change on Transport Conditions in Finland	593
51	Adapting Building Construction to the Effects of Climate Change	605
52	Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on the Building Stock of a Region: Identifying an Appropriate Methodology	617
53	Land Cover Changes over North-Rhine-Westfalia (Germany) and their Impact on Regional Climate	635
	Abbreviations	647
	Index	649