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The Fog Went Thud v
Series Preface xi
Foreword xiii
Preface xvii
About the Author xix
1 Introduction 1
General 1
What a Failure Investigator Does 4
The Conclusion Pyramid 6
Some Common Terms of the Art 9
Crime versus Failure 14
How Accidents and Failures Occur 15
Eyewitness Information 16
Exchange I 17
Exchange II 17
Some Investigative Methods 17
Role in the Legal System 18
2 The Fundamental Method 21
The Fundamental Basis for Investigation 21
The Scientific Method 22
The Value of Falsification 27
Iteration: The Evolution of a Hypothesis 36
Lessons Learned 42
3 More about the Fundamental Method 43
More Historical Background 43
A Comparison of Deductive and Inductive Reasoning 51
Apriorism and Aposteriorism 59
Sophistry 63
The Method of Exhaustion 69
Coincidence, Correlation, and Causation 72
Applying the Scientific Method to Determine a Root Cause 74
The Scientific Method and the Legal System 75
Convergence of Independent Methods 76
Occam's Razor 77
4 Organizing Evidence 81
Data Collection and Efficient Sorting Schemes 81
Verification of Facts 83
Organization of Data and Evidence: Timelines 86
Cause-and-Effect Diagrams 89
A Place to Start 96
Event and Causal Factors Diagrams 97
Investigation Strategies 101
Scientific Method 101
Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) 101
Why Staircase 102
Human Performance Evaluation Process (HPEP) 103
Change Analysis 104
Barrier Analysis 105
Motive, Means, and Opportunity (MMO) 107
Management Organizational Risk Tree (MORT) 109
Proprietary Investigation Methods 110
5 Four Common Reasons Why Some Investigations Fail 113
Introduction 113
Reason 1 The Tail Wagging the Dog 113
Reason 2 Lipstick on a Corpse 115
Reason 3 Elementary, My Dear Watson, Elementary 116
Reason 4 Dilution of the Solution 118
6 Report Writing: Three Case Studies 121
Reporting the Findings of an Investigation 121
Three Sample Reports 127
7 Misplaced Method in the Science of Murder Jon J. Nordby 155
Introduction 155
The Scene 155
Further Search of the Premises 157
The State's Expert Reconstructs the Murder from the Clues 158
Revisiting the Scene Science: The Problem of Data 160
Testing to Develop Scientific Inferences from Data 162
Scientific Inferences from the Decedent's Sweater 162
Scientific Inferences from the Suspect's Glasses 166
Scientific Conclusions about the Shooting Events 172
8 Reading List 173
Books and Monographs 173
Papers and Articles 108
Index 183
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Add Scientific Method: Applications in Failure Investigation and Forensic Science, Most failure or accident investigations begin at the end of the story: after the explosion, after the fire has been extinguished, or after the collapse. In many instances, information about the last event and the starting event is known reasonably well. I, Scientific Method: Applications in Failure Investigation and Forensic Science to the inventory that you are selling on WonderClubX
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Add Scientific Method: Applications in Failure Investigation and Forensic Science, Most failure or accident investigations begin at the end of the story: after the explosion, after the fire has been extinguished, or after the collapse. In many instances, information about the last event and the starting event is known reasonably well. I, Scientific Method: Applications in Failure Investigation and Forensic Science to your collection on WonderClub |