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Preface iii
Figures vii
Tables ix
Summary xi
Acknowledgments xvii
Abbreviations xix
Chapter 1 Introduction: The Basics of Portfolio Management 1
Applications of Portfolio Management for the National Security Agency Information Sharing Services Division 2
Organization of This Monograph 4
Chapter 2 The RAND PortMan Method 5
Expected Value 5
Metrics 6
Research and Development Programs 6
Operations and Maintenance Programs 7
Value and Risk Estimation 7
Portfolio Analysis 8
Consensus 8
Risk Versus Reward 9
Cost Analysis 11
Chapter 3 PortMan Evaluation of the NSA ISS Portfolio 13
ISS Project Descriptions 13
Questions for Evaluating Value and Risk Metrics 14
Research and Development Questions 14
Operations and Maintenance Questions 14
Consensus Analysis 15
Analysis of Value, Risk, and Portfolio Balance 15
Cost Analysis 20
Chapter 4 Conclusions 27
Appendixes
Project Descriptions 29
Research, and Development Questions 31
Operations and Maintenance Questions 35
Delphi Exercise Results by Project and Question 41
Bibliography 43
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