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Verbal Decision Analysis For Unstructured Problems Book

Verbal Decision Analysis For Unstructured Problems
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  • Verbal Decision Analysis For Unstructured Problems
  • Written by author Oleg I. Larichev
  • Published by Springer-Verlag New York, LLC, June 1997
  • This book is devoted to a special class of decision making problems, called `unstructured problems'. The peculiarity of these problems is connected with the essentially qualitative description of the involved factors and the subjective character of re
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Introduction1
1Individual Decision Making: Approaches and Methods9
Participant of the process of decision making12
Economico-mathematical approach to problems of choice19
Mathematical modeling in problems of choice29
System approach to problems of choice35
Computer approach to the problems of choice40
Psychological approach to the problems of choice42
Mutual influence49
2A New Approach to Unstructured Problems of Decision Making51
Unstructured problems with qualitative variables51
Features of unstructured problems53
The role of decision making methods54
Requirements on the methods of decision making55
Measurement56
Valid information elicitation for constructing a decision rule68
Valid transformation of verbal information76
Closed procedures80
Learning procedures83
Explanations84
The new approach and construction of decision methods84
App. 185
App. 290
App. 394
3The Method Zapros-LM for Partial Rank-Ordering of Multiattribute Alternatives97
Main ideas of the method ZAPROS-LM97
Problem formulation105
An approach to the problem solution106
Elicitation of information on DM's preferences109
Elimination of intransitivity in DM's responses112
Implementation of information on the DM's preferences115
Implementation of obtained information for comparison of real alternatives119
Task modification in case of criteria dependency125
Illustration of the method ZAPROS-LM using a simple example128
The evaluation of the procedure's complexity for the decision maker131
The interactive system ZAPROS133
Conclusion143
An Application of the method ZAPROS for R&D evaluation145
4The Method Pacom for the Selection of the Best Alternative153
Main ideas of the method PACOM (PAired COMpensation)153
Task formulation160
The general approach to the task solution161
Procedure for comparison of two alternatives163
Aggregation of information about comparison of pairs of alternatives173
The interactive system PACOM174
Implementation of the method PACOM for the analysis of the gas pipeline route selection problem181
Conclusion187
5The Method Orclass for Ordinal Classification of Multiattribute Alternatives189
Main ideas of the method ORCLASS (ORdinal CLASSification)189
The multicriteria classification problem in decision making196
The task formulation197
An approach to the rational procedure for construction of the complete ordinal classification201
Detection and elimination of inconsistencies in the decision maker's responses207
Class boundaries and their implementation212
Behavioral aspects of the ordinal classification task217
Interactive system ORCLASS and its implementation223
Implementation of the system ORCLASS for evaluation of R&D projects in a medical research institution230
Conclusion236
Conclusion239
References247
Index257


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