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| Acknowledgments | ||
| Preface | ||
| Introduction | 3 | |
| Pt. 1 | Predictions of Global Catastrophe Based on Current Models of Global Systems are Uncertain | |
| 1 | Four Models of Global Systems | 11 |
| 2 | What Is a Scientific Model, and What Do We Do with One? | 25 |
| 3 | Assessing Models of Global Systems: Direct Tests | 33 |
| 4 | Two Requirements for Successful Prediction | 39 |
| 5 | Assessing Models of Global Systems: Indirect Tests | 53 |
| 6 | Dilemmas and Defences | 65 |
| Pt. 2 | In Policy about Global Risk, Precaution Will Maximize Expected Utilities | |
| 7 | From Models to Decisions: Science and Values in Decision-making | 79 |
| 8 | Decision-making Under Uncertainty and High Risk | 87 |
| 9 | Rival Rationalities: Democratic Epistemology | 114 |
| 10 | A Pascalian Argument for Precaution | 141 |
| Notes | 165 | |
| Bibliography | 177 | |
| Index | 183 |
| Price | Condition | Delivery | Seller | Action |
| $99.99 | Digital |
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Add Apocalypse Soon? : Wagering on Warnings of Global Catastrophe, Using arguments that parallel those of Blaise Pascal and William James, Haller offers prudential reasons for caution that should convince those not already persuaded by ethical arguments. While models of global systems can reveal only possible, not probab, Apocalypse Soon? : Wagering on Warnings of Global Catastrophe to the inventory that you are selling on WonderClubX
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Add Apocalypse Soon? : Wagering on Warnings of Global Catastrophe, Using arguments that parallel those of Blaise Pascal and William James, Haller offers prudential reasons for caution that should convince those not already persuaded by ethical arguments. While models of global systems can reveal only possible, not probab, Apocalypse Soon? : Wagering on Warnings of Global Catastrophe to your collection on WonderClub |