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Preface | ||
Acknowledgements | ||
Notes on Contributors | ||
1 | Intelligence and the Problem of Strategic Surprise | 1 |
2 | Politicization of Intelligence: Costs and Benefits | 59 |
3 | Intelligence Failures: Forecasting and the Lessons of Epistemology | 80 |
4 | Theory of Surprise | 101 |
5 | 'FORTITUDE' in Context: The Evolution of British Military Deception in Two World Wars, 1914-1945 | 117 |
6 | Intelligence Failure and the Need for Cognitive Closure: The Case of Yom Kippur | 166 |
7 | Grant vs. Sherman: Paradoxes of Intelligence and Combat Leadership | 190 |
Index | 203 |
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