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Asymmetric Warfare in South Asia: The Causes and Consequences of the Kargil Conflict Book

Asymmetric Warfare in South Asia: The Causes and Consequences of the Kargil Conflict
Asymmetric Warfare in South Asia: The Causes and Consequences of the Kargil Conflict, The 1999 conflict between India and Pakistan near the town of Kargil in contested Kashmir was the first military clash between two nuclear-armed powers since the 1969 Sino-Soviet war. Kargil was a landmark event not because of its duration or casualties, , Asymmetric Warfare in South Asia: The Causes and Consequences of the Kargil Conflict has a rating of 4 stars
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Asymmetric Warfare in South Asia: The Causes and Consequences of the Kargil Conflict, The 1999 conflict between India and Pakistan near the town of Kargil in contested Kashmir was the first military clash between two nuclear-armed powers since the 1969 Sino-Soviet war. Kargil was a landmark event not because of its duration or casualties, , Asymmetric Warfare in South Asia: The Causes and Consequences of the Kargil Conflict
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  • Asymmetric Warfare in South Asia: The Causes and Consequences of the Kargil Conflict
  • Written by author Peter R. Lavoy
  • Published by Cambridge University Press, December 2009
  • The 1999 conflict between India and Pakistan near the town of Kargil in contested Kashmir was the first military clash between two nuclear-armed powers since the 1969 Sino-Soviet war. Kargil was a landmark event not because of its duration or casualties,
  • The 1999 conflict between India and Pakistan near the town of Kargil in contested Kashmir was the first military clash between two nuclear-armed powers since the 1969 Sino-Soviet war. Kargil was a landmark event not because of its duration or casualties,
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Authors

List of maps and tables ix

List of contributors x

Preface xiii

List of abbreviations and acronyms xv

1 Introduction: the importance of the Kargil conflict Peter R. Lavoy 1

Why this study matters 2

Controversies clarified 5

The Kargil conflict in context 14

Enduring rivalry in South Asia 23

The nuclear revolution reconsidered 29

Part 1 Causes and conduct of the conflict 39

2 The strategic context of the Kargil conflict: a Pakistani perspective Zafar Iqbal Cheema 41

Introduction 41

The historical rationale 42

FCNA and the Northern Areas 49

Contemporary rationale: the Siachen Glacier 52

The Kashmir uprising: the Line of Control and the Neelum Valley 55

Pakistan's official version 57

Potential objectives of the Kargil conflict 61

Conclusion 62

3 Pakistan's motivations and calculations for the Kargil conflict Feroz Hassan Khan Peter R. Lavoy Christopher Clary 64

A history of grievance 68

Restoring honor 74

The immediate cause of Kargil 80

A new chain of command 83

Assumptions and miscalculations 86

Conclusion 90

4 Military operations in the Kargil conflict John H. Gill 92

Prelude to conflict 93

Buildup: local and national 105

Indian counteroffensive 114

Combat operations: an assessment 120

Observations 123

5 American diplomacy and the 1999 Kargil Summit at Blair House Bruce Riedel 130

Prologue 130

Introduction 132

Kargil and Kashmir 132

Nawaz calls for help 135

The 4th dawns 137

Aftermath: new deal in New Delhi, coup in Islamabad 141

6 Kargil: the nuclear dimension Timothy D. Hoyt 144

Prelude to Kargil: the May 1998 tests 146

Kargil as a nuclear crisis 155

Post-Kargilinteraction: the nuclear dimension 161

Conclusion 167

7 Why Kargil did not produce general war: the crisis-management strategies of Pakistan, India, and the United States Peter R. Lavoy 171

South Asia's nuclear revolution 172

Pakistan's calculations 177

India's conflict-termination strategy 190

International diplomacy 197

Conclusion 204

Part 2 Consequences and impact of the conflict 207

8 Surprise at the top of the world: India's systemic and intelligence failure James J. Wirtz Surinder Rana 209

The theory of surprise 211

The fait accompli at Kargil 215

Planning the fait accompli: the view from Pakistan 216

Ripe for surprise: the view from India 219

Problems with India's intelligence organizations 220

Conclusion 228

9 Militants in the Kargil conflict: myths, realities, and impacts C. Christine Fair 231

Background: origins of the myth 231

Pakistan's internal dynamics 236

Impact in the Valley of Kashmir 244

Impact on Pakistan's foreign relations 248

Conclusion 256

10 The impact of the Kargil conflict and Kashmir on Indian politics and society Praveen Swami 258

Popular culture 259

The Kargil election 263

The Kargil war and the conflict in Kashmir 270

Conclusion: war, terrorists, and temples 277

11 The Kargil conflict's impact on Pakistani politics and society Saeed Shafqat 280

The Pakistani print media's Kargil 282

The domestic political impact 289

The religious parties outflank the mainstream 290

Political management and mismanagement 296

The coup and its aftermath 304

Conclusion 306

Part 3 Lessons learned 309

12 The lessons of Kargil as learned by India Rajesh M. Basrur 311

Organizational lessons 313

Strategic lessons 320

Conclusion: lessons well learned? 328

13 The lessons of Kargil as learned by Pakistan Hasan-Askari Rizvi 333

Military learning in South Asia 334

Misperceiving others: Pakistani perceptions of international response 337

The harsh spotlight 340

Operational lessons 346

Assessment of the conflict 349

Conclusion: has Pakistan learned? 350

14 The Kargil crisis: lessons learned by the United States Rodney W. Jones Joseph McMillan 353

Lessons for US relations with India and Pakistan 354

Lessons for nuclear stability and nonproliferation policy 359

Lessons for future engagement 365

Conclusion 373

15 Kargil, deterrence, and international relations theory Robert Jervis 377

Introduction 377

Nature of the puzzle 379

Routes to Kargil 381

Surprise 387

Nuclear weapons, nuclear wars 388

Conclusion 396

Index 398


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Asymmetric Warfare in South Asia: The Causes and Consequences of the Kargil Conflict, The 1999 conflict between India and Pakistan near the town of Kargil in contested Kashmir was the first military clash between two nuclear-armed powers since the 1969 Sino-Soviet war. Kargil was a landmark event not because of its duration or casualties, , Asymmetric Warfare in South Asia: The Causes and Consequences of the Kargil Conflict

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