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Acknowledgments xv
Introduction xvii
Forex-Specific Charting Techniques 1
Streaming Data 3
Overview 3
Tick Chart 3
Spread Chart 4
Conclusion 5
Activity 6
Overview 6
Activity Bar Chart 6
Composite Activity 8
Time of Day Activity Chart 8
Day of Week Activity Chart 9
Equi-Activity Chart 10
Activity Mercury Chart 10
Uptick-Downtick Mercury Chart 12
Conclusion 13
Direction 14
Overview 14
Direction Chart 14
Direction Mercury Chart 16
Activity-Direction Mercury Chart 17
Conclusion 18
Forex versus Futures 19
Overview 19
Pip Differential Chart 19
Activity versus Volume and Open Interest 22
Conclusion 22
Arbitrage 23
Overview 23
Transitivity 23
Triangular Arbitrage Chart 24
Equilibrium 25
Major Currencies 28
Observation 28
The Mundo 29
Overview 29
Forex Beta 29
Mundo Line Chart 31
Weighting 32
Mundo Bar Chart 33
Observation 33
Range Charts 34
Overview 34
Range Bar Chart 34
Composite Range Charts 35
Time of Day Range Chart 35
Day of Week Range Chart 37
Average Interval Range Chart 37
Observations 38
Absolute Momentum 39
Overview 39
Absolute Momentum 39
Time of Day Momentum Chart 40
Day of Week Momentum Chart 41
Conclusion 42
Two-Dimensional Momentum 43
Overview 43
Two-Dimensional Momentum Chart 43
Islands 45
Smoothing 47
Observation 47
Moving Trend Analysis 49
Overview 49
Linear Regression 49
Ordinary Least Squares Method 50
Coefficient of Correlation 51
Trend Oscillators 51
Moving Slope Oscillator 52
Moving Correlation Oscillator 52
Moving Trend Index 52
Observations 54
Point and Figure Charting 55
History of Point and Figure Charting 57
Overview 57
History 58
The Point and Figure Algorithm 59
Overview 59
P&F Anatomy 59
Box Size 59
Reversal Amount 60
Unraveling Bar Quote Data 61
P&F Algorithm 61
Time Representation 62
Trend Lines 63
Support and Resistance 63
Trend Lines 63
Buy Signals 65
Sell Signals 65
Double Tops and Bottoms 67
Overview 67
Double Top Pattern 67
Double Bottom Pattern 68
Double Top Signals 68
Double Bottom Signals 70
False Signals 72
Signal Percentages 72
Observations 74
Triple Tops and Bottoms 75
Overview 75
Triple Top Pattern 75
Triple Bottom Pattern 76
Triple Top Signals 76
Triple Bottom Signals 78
False Signals 79
Signal Percentages 79
Observations 81
Triangles 82
Overview 82
Ascending Triangles 82
Descending Triangles 83
Symmetrical Triangles 83
Triangle Signals 84
Ascending and Descending Frequencies 84
Symmetrical Frequencies 87
Observation 87
Pattern Frequencies 89
Overview 89
Box Size = One Pip 90
Box Size = Two Pips 92
Box Size = Three Pips 93
Inverse Patterns 94
Usage 94
Breakout Analysis 96
Overview 96
Preceding Columns 97
Succeeding Columns 100
Observations 102
Count Methods 104
Overview 104
Horizontal Count (Buy) 104
Horizontal Count (Sell) 106
Vertical Count (Buy) 107
Vertical Count (Sell) 108
Observations 109
Plotting Point and Figure Charts in Real Time 110
Overview 110
Tools of the Trade 110
Trading Platform 110
Trading Goals 111
Starting the Process 111
Real-Time Example 111
Performance Evaluation 114
Forex Swing Charting 115
Fibonacci Primer 117
Overview 117
Fibonacci the Man 117
Fibonacci the Series 118
Fibonacci the Ratios 119
Fibonacci the Equations 120
Binet's Formula 122
Interpretation 122
Resources 124
Swing Charts 125
Overview 125
Definitions 125
Box Size 126
Reversal Amount 126
Swing Reversal Algorithm 127
Time Alignment 128
Practical Examples 129
Composite Swing Charts 132
Usage 132
The Measured Move 134
Overview 134
Testing Approach 135
Cluster Charts 135
Average Retracement 137
Decile Divisions 139
Practical Examples 141
Conclusion 146
The Fifty Percent Principle 147
Overview 147
Testing Approach 147
Initial Results 148
Increasing Tolerance 150
Improving The Third Wave Forecast 152
Overview 152
Methodology 153
Multiple Regression 154
Quartiles 154
Practical Examples 157
Fifty Percent Principle 160
Fifty Percent Examples 160
Forecasting The Fourth Wave 162
Overview 162
Testing Approach 162
Practical Examples 164
Improving the Forecast 164
Three-Wave Trending Cycles 165
Trending Example 166
Three-Wave Nontrending Cycles 166
Nontrending Example 167
Extending the Forecast 167
Estimate Charts 168
Live Usage 170
Cycle Frequencies 171
Overview 171
Two-Wave Cycles 171
Three-Wave Cycles 173
Four-Wave Bull Cycles 175
Four-Wave Bear Cycles 177
Usage 178
Bull Cycles 180
Overview 180
Ideal Bull Cycle 180
Objective 181
Initial Results 182
Praxis 183
Caveat 185
Further Studies 185
Bear Cycles 186
Overview 186
Ideal Bear Cycle 186
Objective 187
Initial Results 187
Praxis 188
Caveat 190
Swing Properties 191
Overview 191
Wave Anatomy 131
Simple Ratios 192
Swing Averages 192
Swing Data Preliminaries 194
Bivariate Data 195
Swing Volatility 197
Swing Velocity 199
Swing Summary 200
Overview 200
Selecting Swing Parameters 200
Composite Average Estimates 202
Caveat 207
Other Reversal Charts 209
Western Reversal Charts 211
Overview 211
Geometric Chart 211
Trend Outline Chart 213
Pivot Chart 215
Observation 216
Japanese Reversal Charts 217
Overview 217
Renko Chart 217
Kagi Chart 220
Three-Line Break Chart 224
Goodman Swing Count System 227
History 229
Charles B. Goodman 229
The Right Brackets 230
Later Developments 230
Ordinal Principles 233
Ordinal versus Cardinal 233
The Measured Move 233
Congestion Phase 234
Equilibrium of Buyers and Sellers 235
Cardinal Principles 238
Overview 238
Price Surge 238
Multilevel Matrices 239
Compensation 241
Carryover 241
Cancellation 242
Intersections 244
Five Points of a Goodman Wave 245
Double and Triple Intersections 246
Goodman versus Elliott 247
Overview 247
Propagation 248
The Return 249
Charting Study 251
Overview 251
Notation 251
Matrix 251
Propagation 253
Simple/Complex 254
Fat/Thin 255
Goodman and Computers 255
Appendixes
World Currencies 259
Exchange Rates 264
Euro Currency 267
Global Banking Hours 269
Monthly OHLC and Activity Charts 271
Daily OHLC and Activity Charts 282
Time of Day Charts (Activity) 293
Time of Day Charts (Range) 297
Time of Day Charts (Momentum) 301
Day of Week Charts (Activity) 305
Day of Week Charts (Range) 311
Day of Week Charts (Momentum) 317
Comparative Statistics 323
Unraveling Bar Quotes 325
Visual Basic Source Code (Point and Figure) 331
Visual Basic Source Code (Swing) 338
Resources 341
Index 349
About the Authors 361
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