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List of tables ix
List of figures x
Preface xi
Introduction: economic crises, political elites, and democratic stability 1
Crises, cooperation, and democratic stability 1
Elite paths to democratic stability 5
Path one to elite consensus: an elite settlement and its preconditions 6
Path two to elite consensus: elite convergence and its preconditions 9
Economic crisis and the deepening of elite consensus 12
Outline of the volume 14
The outbreak of the Asian economic crisis and its socioeconomic consequences 15
Features and causes of the economic crisis 15
Economic vulnerabilities 18
Socioeconomic responses and effects 22
An excursus on the Philippines 25
Conclusion 25
Political circumstances before the Asian economic crisis: elite configurations in the five countries 28
Indonesia 28
Thailand 31
The Philippines 33
Malaysia 37
South Korea 39
Conclusion 43
Economic crisis, divided elites, and prospects for an elite settlement 45
Precrisispower imbalance, external pressures, and no elite settlement 45
Strong old-regime forces and disunited opposition forces: political cleavages in the 1999 general election 50
Logrolling, veto power, and captured presidency: an outcome of elite fragmentation 53
Conclusion 57
Economic crisis, fragmented elites, and prospects for elite convergence 58
Political cleavages before the crisis 58
The Philippines: dominant but tractable ethno-linguistic cleavages 61
Convergence attempts and failures 62
Conclusion 74
Economic crisis, consensual elites and prospects for the further consensus 76
Malaysia 77
South Korea 87
Conclusions 98
Notes 103
Bibliography 122
Index 132
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