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List of figures xii
List of tables xiv
List of boxes xv
List of problem sets xvii
Preface xxi
Why study information economics? 1
How to use this book 5
The purpose of the book 5
Ways of reading the book 6
The structure of the book 8
Using the book for teaching 8
Solutions to problem sets and other supporting material 9
Information as an economic good 11
What is information? 13
Introduction 13
Main ideas: The strangest good of all 14
Theory: Describing, comparing and updating information 17
Conclusions and further reading 26
Problem sets: Medical and financial testing 27
The value of information 31
Introduction 31
Main ideas: The source(s) of information value 32
Theory: Knowledge is power 37
Application: The resolution of uncertainty 50
Application: The informational cost of mediocrity 53
Conclusions and further reading 56
Problem sets: Precious advice 56
The optimal amount of information 61
Introduction 61
Main ideas: Is it worth the cost? 62
Theory: Deciding at the margin 63
Application: The central bank's inflation forecast 67
Application: Search 70
Conclusions and further reading 79
Problem sets: Paying, searching, and waiting for information 80
The production of information 83
Introduction 83
Main Ideas: Too little research or too much? 86
Theory: The incentive to innovate 88
Application: Creative destruction 97
Application: Rating agencies 105
Application: Why are banks supervised? 107
Conclusions and further reading 109
Problem sets: Produce or copy-sell or give away? 110
How the market aggregates information 115
From information to prices 117
Introduction 117
Main ideas: Revealing information through prices 118
Theory: The market as an information processor 121
Application: Terrorism futures and prediction markets 135
Application: Should bank supervisors look at market prices? 137
Conclusions and further reading 142
Problem sets: Two heads know more than one 143
Knowing facts or reading thoughts? 145
Introduction 145
Main ideas: Fundamental versus strategic uncertainty 146
Theory: Higher-order information 148
Application: Keynes in the lab 162
Application: Conformism and learning from debate 165
Application: Betrayals and mediation 167
Conclusions and further reading 169
Problem sets: The art of outguessing others 171
Coordination problems 173
Introduction 173
Main ideas: Red or white? 174
Theory: Coordination and multiple equilibria 180
Application: Bank runs 190
Conclusions and further reading 200
Problem sets: "Should I stay or should I go?" 201
Learning and cascades 203
Introduction 203
Main ideas: "Always stand at the longest queue" 205
Theory: Observational learning 207
Application: Learning in repeated games 221
Conclusions and further reading 224
Problem sets: A bath in the crowd 224
The macroeconomics of information 227
Introduction 227
Main ideas: Who acquires information and why? 228
Theory: Information is imperfect and costly 232
Application: Central bank transparency 245
Conclusions and further reading 248
Problem sets: As time goes by 249
Asymmetric information 253
The winner's curse 255
Introduction 255
Main ideas: How to lose by winning 257
Theory: The importance of conditional expectations 260
Application: The underpricing of IPOs 266
Application: Prices and the winner's curse 269
Conclusions and further reading 270
Problem sets: Cursing winners 271
Information and selection 273
Introduction 273
Main ideas: When information prevents trading 274
Theory: The market for lemons 277
Application: The insurance destruction effect 286
Application: Annuities 293
Conclusions and further reading 300
Problem sets: Buying the cat in a bag 302
Optimal contracts 305
Introduction 305
Main ideas: The economic lie detector 307
Theory: Optimal contracts 312
Application: Price-quality discrimination 322
Application: Subordinated debt 328
Conclusions and further reading 334
Problem sets: Deal or no deal? 335
The revelation principle 341
Introduction 341
Main ideas: Many lies, one truth 342
Theory: The relevation principle 343
Application: The debt contract 349
Application: Auctions 356
Application: Why Enron should not have happened 360
Conclusions and further reading 362
Problem sets: Know your value 364
Creating incentives 367
Introduction 367
Main ideas: Delegation and moral hazard 369
Theory: Incentive contracts 371
Application: Bank deposit insurance and risk taking 381
Application: Credence goods 389
Conclusions and further reading 395
Problem sets: Getting things done 397
The economics of self-knowledge 401
Me, Myself, and I 403
Introduction 403
Main ideas: Contracting with oneself 404
Theory: Intertemporal choice and self-management 411
Application: Soft paternalism 425
Conclusions and further reading 428
Problem sets: Tomorrow I will 430
Notes 433
Bibliography 439
Index 449
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