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List of Figures xi
List of Tables xii
Preface and Acknowledgements xiii
Introduction 1
Methodological Foundations 3
Naturalism 8
Constructivism 10
Scientific Realism 13
Chapter Outline and Logic 15
Philosophy of Naturalist Science 19
The Birth of the Philosophy of Science 20
Francis Bacon and the Method of Induction 21
Locke, Hume and the Modern Philosophy of Knowledge 24
The Basic Assumptions of the Naturalist Methodology 28
On Doubt and Reductionism: the Cartesian Revolution 30
Post-Cartesian Developments: From Comte to Vienna 33
Logical Positivism 36
At the Threshold of the Millennium 44
Post-Popper 47
Recapitulation: the Naturalist Way of Knowing 49
The Broad Joists of the Naturalist Methodology 50
The Naturalist Hierarchy of Methods 51
Recommended Further Reading 52
The Experimental Method 53
Historical and Definitional Preliminaries 55
Galileo's Design 56
TheClassic Design 57
Exemplary Illustrations 64
Maier's Rats 64
Ideological Innocence 66
Conclusion 68
Recommended Further Reading 69
The Statistical Method 70
Descriptive Statistics 71
Pioneers: Graunt, Petty and Conring 71
Galton: Basic Concepts and Examples 73
Inferential Statistics 83
Multivariate Analysis 89
Conclusion 92
Recommended Further Reading 93
The Comparative Method 94
The Methods of John Stuart Mill 96
The Method of Difference 97
The Method of Agreement 100
The Indirect Method of Difference 103
The Method of Concomitant Variation 107
Shortcomings 109
Over-determination 109
Sampling Bias 111
Conclusion 114
Recommended Further Reading 115
History and Case Studies 116
The Historical Method 117
Leopold von Ranke 118
Barbara Tuchman 123
Criticism 128
The Case Study Method 130
Types of Case Studies 132
Conclusion 139
Recommended Further Reading 141
Sowing Doubts about the Naturalist Methodology 142
Ontological Doubts 143
The Natural World 144
The Social World 146
Epistemological Doubts 149
Presuppositions 149
Meaning 153
Scientific Authority 155
Przeworski and Teune 157
Methodological Doubts 160
Recommended Further Reading 164
A Constructivist Philosophy of Science 165
On Natural and Other Worlds 166
The Awakening 169
On Pure Concepts and Natural Ideas 170
The World of Our Making 172
The Unwieldy World of William Whewell 173
Disparate Pieces to a New Philosophy of Science 175
The Role of History 176
The Impact of Society 178
The Role of Ideas 181
On Communication and Language 187
Summing Up: Context Matters 190
Recapitulation: the Constructivist Way of Knowing 190
The Constructivist Other 191
Conclusion 195
Recommended Further Reading 196
From Story Telling to Telling Histories 197
The Mysterious Ways of Miss Marple 200
The Serendipitous Approach 202
Ethnomethodology 204
Presentational Approaches 206
From Facts to Narrative 206
Narrative Structures 207
Ideational Approaches 210
From Mentalities to Discourse 210
Contextualizing Approaches 214
Scholars and their Contexts 214
From the Lessons of History to the History of Lessons 216
Multiple Stories 217
Approaching Naturalism 219
Conclusions 220
Recommended Further Reading 221
Comparing Interpretations 222
Temptations of Similitude 223
In the Shade of the Old Mill 225
On Laws and Patterns 226
On Case Selection 232
On Data Selection 234
Constructing Comparisons 236
Challenging the Old and Constructing the New 237
Hermeneutic Understanding 240
Contrasting Us with Them 242
Conclusion 244
Recommended Further Reading 245
Contextualizing Statistics 246
The Dark Side of Statistics 247
Sir Francis Galton 248
Statistics Lack a Sense of Context 250
The Statistical Worldview 251
On the Bright Side 252
Descriptive Statistics and Quantitative Graphics 253
Bayesian Statistics 260
Statistic Narratives 264
Conclusion 266
Recommended Further Reading 266
Interpretive Experiments 267
Experiments in Science 268
Imaginary Journeys 270
Social Thought Experiments 276
Rational Thought Experiments 278
An After Thought 281
Conclusion 283
Recommended Further Reading 284
Conclusion 285
On Design 285
On Methodological Pluralism 288
On Methodological Rapprochement 291
On the Numerology Divide 293
Notes 295
References 302
Index 318
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