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List of Figures x
List of Tables xii
List of Contributors xiii
Preface xiv
Introduction Leila Simona Talani 1
1 Some Thoughts on Monetary and Political Union Paul De Grauwe 9
1 Introduction 9
2 The many dimensions of a political union 10
3 The theory of optimum currency areas and political union 11
4 How does political integration affect the optimality of a monetary union? 13
5 Asymmetric shocks and lack of political union 15
6 Criticism of the traditional OCA theory 18
7 Comparing the two views 19
8 A preliminary evaluation 21
9 The institutional weakness of the present euro-zone governance 22
10 Conclusion: the need for further political integration 24
2 European Fiscal Policy Co-ordination and the Persistent Myth of Stabilization Erik Jones 29
1 Introduction 29
2 Stabilization and adjustment 30
3 Fiscal stabilization 42
4 International fiscal stabilization 47
5 Where do we go from here? 49
3 The Role of Preferences and the Sustainability of EMU Francisco Torres 54
1 Introduction 54
2 Two divergent views on the means to achieve monetary integration in Europe 55
3 Converging preferences on inflation and the role of monetary policy 57
4 The first test to the commitment to exchange rate and price stability 60
5 A framework of analysis for the sustainability of EMU 62
6 Endogenous preferences 66
7 Conclusion 69
4 Globalization vs. Europeanization: Assessing the Impact of EMU on Business Cycle Affiliation Michael Artis 75
1 Introduction 75
2 Is there a European business cycle? 76
3 Measuring business cycle affiliations 77
4 Clustering 78
5 Globalization vs. Europeanization? 82
6 Conclusion 86
5 EMU and theEuro-Mediterranean Dialogue: Trade Interdependence between Mediterranean and Euro-area Countries Giorgio Fazio 89
1 Introduction 89
2 Currency unions and trade integration south of the Mediterranean 90
3 The Barcelona Conference and the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership 92
4 A simple empirical evaluation 94
5 Data 97
6 Results 97
7 Conclusion 104
Data Appendix 105
6 In and Out of Monetary Unions: Lessons From, and Risks For the EMU. An Alternative Approach to Monetary Unions Antimo Verde 110
1 Introduction 110
2 The evolution of the OCA theory 112
3 A new conceptual scheme: the basic steps 116
4 The model 123
5 The model simulations: the two-speed Europe 134
6 Concluding remarks: the future of EMU and the OCA theory 139
7 EMU and the Quest for Competitiveness Leila Simona Talani 144
1 Introduction 144
2 The quest for competitiveness in theory 145
3 Conclusion: the future of EMU. Structural reforms and the crisis of the SGP 156
8 The Lisbon Strategy, Macroeconomic Stability and the Dilemma of Governance with Governments (Or Why Europe Is Not Becoming the World's Most Dynamic Economy) Stefan Collignon 161
1 Introduction 161
2 Where the Lisbon Strategy is failing 162
3 The flawed macroeconomic and institutional framework 175
4 Conclusion 188
9 Conclusion: the Future of EMU Leila Simona Talani 194
Index 198
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