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Snap Judgment: When to Trust Your Instincts, When to Ignore Them, and How to Avoid Making Big Mistakes with Your Money Book

Snap Judgment: When to Trust Your Instincts, When to Ignore Them, and How to Avoid Making Big Mistakes with Your Money
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  • Snap Judgment: When to Trust Your Instincts, When to Ignore Them, and How to Avoid Making Big Mistakes with Your Money
  • Written by author David E. Adler
  • Published by FT Press, June 2009
  • "Adler’s argument is illuminating and reveals that, when it comes to investing, we should always have second thoughts about our first impressions." --Publisher's Weekly WHY YOUR INSTINCTS
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Authors

Acknowledgments . . . ix

About the Author . . . xi

Introduction . . . 1

Part I: The Psychology of Financial Decisions

Chapter 1. Money Is a Drug . . . 15

Chapter 2. Buy High, Sell Low: The Basic Instinct Driven Error of Investing . . . 21

Chapter 3. More About Stocks: Dividends–Behavioral Ways to Play the Dividend Game . . . 27

Chapter 4. Bonds: Malign Neglect . . . 33

Chapter 5. The Psychology of Why People (Used to) Hate Annuities . . . 39

Chapter 6. The Psychology of Selecting Mutual Funds . . . 47

Chapter 7. Building Your Portfolio the Behavioral Economics Way . . . 55

Chapter 8. Risk Tolerance and Investing . . . 61

Chapter 9. Deconstructing Stock Analysts . . . 67

Chapter 10. Value Investing: Behavioral Origins . . . 73

Chapter 11. Timing Stocks . . . 77

Chapter 12. Momentum . . . 83

Chapter 13. The Ultimate Anomaly: Trusting Your Gut in Finance . . . 91

Part II: The Track, the Stock Market, and Other Types of Gambling

Chapter 14. Let’s Talk about Linda: More about Our Intuition . . . 95

Chapter 15. Why Investors Bet on Long-Shot Horses . .109

Chapter 16. Gambling Continued: Stories We Tell Ourselves . . . 113

Chapter 17. Fourth and Ten: Insights into NFL (and Corporate) Decision Making . . . 119

Chapter 18. Football Stories, Continued: The NFL Draft . . . 125

Chapter 19. The Inner Game of Tennis, Revisited . . . 131

Chapter 20. How to Make Money Gambling: Behavioral Insights . . .135

Chapter 21. The Truth About Coin Tosses: They Aren’t Fair . . . 143

Part III: Personal Decisions: Personal Safety, Personal Finance, and Health Choices

Chapter 22.Personal Security: Assessing Danger . . . 151

Chapter 23. Credit Card Stories: Beating Your Credit Card Charges Using Behavioral Economics . . . 155

Chapter 24. Snap Judgment and Social Security: When Should You Claim It? . . .163

Chapter 25. How Patients Think Irrationally . . . 167

Chapter 26. Health Insurance Decisions . . . 173

Chapter 27. Car Accidents . . . 177

Part IV: CEO Behavior

Chapter 28. Strategic “Styles” . . . 183

Chapter 29. CEO Hubris . . . 189

Chapter 30. Firing CEOs . . . 195

Chapter 31. Using CEO Behavior for Investing . . . 197

Chapter 32. Wall Street CEOs . . . 199

Part V: Psychology and the Credit Crisis

Chapter 33. Background: Bubbles and When They Explode . . . 207

Chapter 34. Fear and Loathing in Ft. Lauderdale . . . 213

Chapter 35 Follow the Mortgage . . . 219

Chapter 36. Risky Business: Bank Runs . . . 229

Chapter 37. Euphoria, Fear, and Economics: A Psychological Autopsy of the Crisis . . . 235

Part VI: Conclusion: Debiasing

Chapter 38. How Not to Blink in the Face of Financial Panic . . . 249

Chapter 39. A Summing Up: Twilight of the Gods . . . 261

Index . . . 265


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