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Preface: Making the Right Moves v
Part 1 The Basics of Decision Theory 1
Chapter 1 You Are What You Decide 3
Chapter 2 Creating the Menu 13
Chapter 3 What's in it for Me? Determining Your Payoffs 25
Chapter 4 When the Crystal Ball is Cloudy 39
Chapter 5 Dumping the Losers: The Admissibility Criterion 51
Chapter 6 Worst-Case Scenarios: The Minimax Criterion 61
Chapter 7 In the Long Run: The Bayes' Criterion 73
Chapter 8 Taking the Plunge: The Maximax Criterion 85
Chapter 9 Which Club to Use 97
Chapter 10 What You Don't Know Can Hurt You 105
Chapter 11 The Balance of Power 125
Chapter 12 People Who Need People 135
Chapter 13 Hurts So Good 145
Part 2 The Quizzes 155
Index 239
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