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Book Categories |
| List of Figures | ||
| List of Tables | ||
| Series Foreword | ||
| Foreword | ||
| Preface | ||
| Common Acronyms | ||
| 1 | Economic Forecasting | 1 |
| 2 | Forecast Failure | 36 |
| 3 | Deterministic Shifts | 69 |
| 4 | Other Sources | 98 |
| 5 | Differencing | 133 |
| 6 | Intercept Corrections | 166 |
| 7 | Modeling Consumers' Expenditure | 189 |
| 8 | A Small UK Money Model | 216 |
| 9 | Co-breaking | 240 |
| 10 | Modeling Shifts | 264 |
| 11 | A Wage-Price Model | 286 |
| 12 | Postscript | 300 |
| References | 327 | |
| Glossary | 347 | |
| Author Index | 351 | |
| Subject Index | 355 |
| Price | Condition | Delivery | Seller | Action |
| $99.99 | Digital |
| WonderClub |
Helen Terry
reviewed Forecasting Non-Stationary Economic Time Series on March 06, 2014
Forecasting Non-Stationary Economic Time Series
I found this book thought-provoking. It's a nice piece of thought leadership, although I don't necessarily agree with all of his trends. Here they are in a nutshell:
Part 1: Limits
1. China will get richer and then it will get poorer again.
2. The European Union will disintegrate as an economic entity.
Part 2: Obstacles
3. The new colonialism will leave the colonizers and the colonized worse off in the long term.
4. Changing immigration policies in rich countries will worsen the brain drain from poor countries even as they get richer.
5. The backlash against capitalism won't last but it won't be replaced by political stability either.
Part 3: Opportunities
6. Americans will become the world's sales force.
7. As the global economy integrates, the middle man will win.
8. The collapse of the World Trade Organization will unlock new gains from trade.
9. A new set of lifestyle hubs will replace today's business hubs.
Part 4: Risks
10. An enormous financial black market will arise outside of traditional centers.
11. Global warming will make rich countries cleaner and richer and poor countries dirtier and poorer.
12. The structure of political institutions will stop the world from solving its biggest problems.
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Add Forecasting Non-Stationary Economic Time Series, Economies evolve and are subject to sudden shifts precipitated by legislative changes, economic policy, major discoveries, and political turmoil. Macroeconometric models are a very imperfect tool for forecasting this highly complicated and changing proces, Forecasting Non-Stationary Economic Time Series to the inventory that you are selling on WonderClubX
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Add Forecasting Non-Stationary Economic Time Series, Economies evolve and are subject to sudden shifts precipitated by legislative changes, economic policy, major discoveries, and political turmoil. Macroeconometric models are a very imperfect tool for forecasting this highly complicated and changing proces, Forecasting Non-Stationary Economic Time Series to your collection on WonderClub |