Econometric Modelling: Techniques and Applications Book

	List of contributors
1	Introduction	1
2	Economic forecasting in the face of structural breaks	3
3	The Treasury's forecasts of GDP and the RPI: how have they changed and what are the uncertainties?	38
4	General equilibrium modelling of UK tax policy	69
5	A structural cointegrating VAR approach to macroeconometric modelling	94
6	Unemployment, the natural rate and structural change	132
7	Macroeconomic models at the Bank of England	158
8	Estimated stabilisation costs of the EMU	188
9	Optimal monetary policy	209
10	How tough should monetary policy be if inflation is forward looking?	237
11	Technical progress and the natural rate in models of the UK economy	254
12	The conduct of monetary policy when the business cycle is non-linear	276