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Acknowledgments ix
Preface xi
1 Reform, Muddling Through, or Collapse? 1
2 "Our Own Style of Statistics": Availability and Reliability of Official Quantitative Data 17
3 International Trade in Capital Goods, 1970-1995: Indications from "Mirror Statistics" 61
4 Interlocking Crises in Food, Energy, and Transport Equipment: Indications from "Mirror Statistics" 99
5 Socioeconomic Development in Divided Korea: A Tale of Two "Strategies" 127
6 Prospects for Inter-Korean Economic Cooperation in the "Sunshine" Era 159
7 Economic Recovery in the DPRK: Status and Prospects 197
8 If North Korea Were Really "Reforming" How Could We Tell and What Would We See? 221
9 Economic Implications of a "Bold Switchover" in DPRK Security Policy 245
10 North Korea's Survival Game: Understanding the Recent Past, Thinking about the Future 275
List of Abbreviations and Definitions of Specific Korean Terms 313
Index 317
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