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Research on Judgment and Decision Making: Currents, Connections, and Controversies Book

Research on Judgment and Decision Making: Currents, Connections, and Controversies
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Research on Judgment and Decision Making: Currents, Connections, and Controversies, , Research on Judgment and Decision Making: Currents, Connections, and Controversies
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  • Research on Judgment and Decision Making: Currents, Connections, and Controversies
  • Written by author William M. Goldstein
  • Published by Cambridge University Press, June 1997
  • This anthology offers an overview of recent research on the psychology of judgment and decision making.
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Authors

Series preface
Contributors
Editors' Preface
1Judgment and decision research: Some historical context3
2Reason-based choice69
3Probabilistic mental models: A Brunswikian theory of confidence95
4Direct comparison of the efficacy of intuitive and analytical cognition in expert judgment144
5The adaptive decision maker: Effort and accuracy in choice181
6Confirmation, disconfirmation, and information in hypothesis testing205
7Learning from feedback: Exactingness and incentives244
8Covariation in natural causal induction285
9Propensities and counterfactuals: The loser that almost won322
10The process-performance paradox in expert judgment: How can experts know so much and predict so badly?342
11Intertemporal choice365
12Not me or thee but we: The importance of group identity in eliciting cooperation in dilemma situations: Experimental manipulations379
13Predicting a changing taste: Do people know what they will like?393
14Endowment and contrast in judgments of well-being411
15The relationship between memory and judgment depends on whether the judgment task in memory-based or on-line431
16Explanation-based decision making: Effects of memory structure on judgment454
17Decision making under ignorance: Arguing with yourself482
18Positive affect and decision making509
19The paramorphic representation of clinical judgment: A thirty-year retrospective537
20Islanders and hostages: Deep and surface structures of decision problems552
21Content and discontent: Indications and implications of domain specificity in preferential decision making566
22The case for rules in reasoning618
23An alternative metaphor in the study of judgment and choice: People as politicians657
24Between hope and fear: The psychology of risk681
Author index721
Subject index737


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