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Series preface | ||
Contributors | ||
Editors' Preface | ||
1 | Judgment and decision research: Some historical context | 3 |
2 | Reason-based choice | 69 |
3 | Probabilistic mental models: A Brunswikian theory of confidence | 95 |
4 | Direct comparison of the efficacy of intuitive and analytical cognition in expert judgment | 144 |
5 | The adaptive decision maker: Effort and accuracy in choice | 181 |
6 | Confirmation, disconfirmation, and information in hypothesis testing | 205 |
7 | Learning from feedback: Exactingness and incentives | 244 |
8 | Covariation in natural causal induction | 285 |
9 | Propensities and counterfactuals: The loser that almost won | 322 |
10 | The process-performance paradox in expert judgment: How can experts know so much and predict so badly? | 342 |
11 | Intertemporal choice | 365 |
12 | Not me or thee but we: The importance of group identity in eliciting cooperation in dilemma situations: Experimental manipulations | 379 |
13 | Predicting a changing taste: Do people know what they will like? | 393 |
14 | Endowment and contrast in judgments of well-being | 411 |
15 | The relationship between memory and judgment depends on whether the judgment task in memory-based or on-line | 431 |
16 | Explanation-based decision making: Effects of memory structure on judgment | 454 |
17 | Decision making under ignorance: Arguing with yourself | 482 |
18 | Positive affect and decision making | 509 |
19 | The paramorphic representation of clinical judgment: A thirty-year retrospective | 537 |
20 | Islanders and hostages: Deep and surface structures of decision problems | 552 |
21 | Content and discontent: Indications and implications of domain specificity in preferential decision making | 566 |
22 | The case for rules in reasoning | 618 |
23 | An alternative metaphor in the study of judgment and choice: People as politicians | 657 |
24 | Between hope and fear: The psychology of risk | 681 |
Author index | 721 | |
Subject index | 737 |
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