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Preface to the Paperback Edition ix
Preface and Note to Readers xi
Acknowledgments xv
Part I Enlightenment and the Anti-Bayesian Reaction 1
1 Causes in the Air 3
2 The Man Who Did Everything 13
3 Many Doubts, Few Defenders 34
Part II Second World War Era 59
4 Bayes Goes to War 61
5 Dead and Buried Again 87
Part III The Glorious Revival 89
6 Arthur Bailey 91
7 From Tool to Theology 97
8 Jerome Cornfield, Lung Cancer, and Heart Attacks 108
9 There's Always a First Time 119
10 46,656 Varieties 129
Part IV To Prove Its Worth 137
11 Business Decisions 139
12 Who Wrote The Federalist? 154
13 The Cold Warrior 163
14 Three Mile Island 176
15 The Navy Searches 182
Part V Victory 211
16 Eureka! 213
17 Rosetta Stories 233
Epilogue 252
Appendixes 257
Dr. Fisher's Casebook 257
Applying Bayes' Rule 259
Notes 271
Glossary for Nonmathematical Readers 283
Bibliography 287
Reading List 320
Index 323
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Add The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy, Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents,, The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy to the inventory that you are selling on WonderClubX
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Add The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy, Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents,, The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy to your collection on WonderClub |