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Acknowledgments Introduction Of Power Of Size and Growth Of Nuclear Weapons Plan of the Book
1. Causes, Beginnings and Predictions: The Power Transition Three Models Comparison of the Three Models Preparation for the Testing of a Model Empirical Tests of the Power-Distribution Models Conclusion
2. Davids and Goliaths: Predicting the Outcomes of International Wars Power Indicators: Existing Measures The Missing Measure of Political Development Construction of a Measure of Political Development An Index of Governmental Extraction A New Measure of National Capabilities Tests, Hypotheses, and Findings Conclusion
3. The Costs of Major Wars: The Phoenix Factor Theoretical Propositions Indexing National Capabilities or Power Resources Estimating Consequences of War Choice of Test Cases Actors Empirical Propositions Findings The Phoenix Factor Conclusion
4. Nuclear Arms Races and Deterrence Deterrents and Deterrence Testing Deterrence: Outcomes of Crisis Testing Mutual Deterrence: The Nuclear Arms Race Conclusion
5. Conclusion A Note on Architecture Major Wars: Beginnings Predictions of War Outcomes The Phoenix Factor Deterrence and Arms Races Beyond the Data Appendix 1: Index of Political Development Appendix 2: Postwar American Aid Appendix 3: Analysis of Models Notes Bibliography Index
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