Bayesian Epistemology Book

	Introduction	1
1	Information	9
1.1	C. I Lewis's Heritage	9
1.2	Bayesian Coherentism	10
1.3	Modelling Information Gathering	14
1.4	An Impossibility Result	19
1.5	Weak Bayesian Coherentism	22
2	Coherence	28
2.1	Unequal Priors	28
2.2	Constructing a Measure	30
2.3	A Corps in Tokyo, BonJour's Ravens and Tweety	39
2.4	Equal Reliability	45
2.5	Indeterminacy	47
2.6	Alternative Proposals	49
2.7	Theory Choice in Science	53
3	Reliability	56
3.1	Reliability Defined Endogenously	56
3.2	One Witness Report	58
3.3	Multiple Witness Reports	60
3.4	An Upper Limit for Reliability?	63
3.5	Bayesian Networks	67
3.6	Jury Voting	81
3.7	Tversky and Kahneman's Linda	85
4	Confirmation	89
4.1	Hypothesis Testing	89
4.2	Same Tests Results	94
4.3	Coherent Test Results	98
4.4	The Variety-of-Evidence Thesis	103
4.5	Auxiliary Theories	107
5	Testimony	112
5.1	The Value of Surprising Information	112
5.2	Testimonies from Independent Witnesses	113
5.3	Lower Priors, Higher Posteriors?	115
5.4	Generalizing to Many Witnesses	121
5.5	Shopping for Consumer Products	123
	Epilogue	128
	Appendix	131
	References	154
	Index	157